[kj] Ot - Presidential race, by the numbers.. -- EDIT

sade1 saulomar1 at yahoo.com
Mon Sep 8 15:21:27 EDT 2008







> Post convention bounces are meaningless..

 
   The point of the numbers is more the "long-term," & that, with exceptions**,
it has still been a tie for the last several months even with 2 conventions.
[where is Obama's power?] 
   Long-term patterns do count, it's why both sides hire professional pollsters
to work 24/7. That's why Obi-Wan chose Biden, that's (at least in a big part)
why he flip-flopped on offshore oil drilling, that's why he's "changed" his mind
about the surge, that's why went on Fox with O'Reilly, because as messianic
as he supposedly is, the numbers aren't moving.
  Obama cares, both short term and long term, and exceptions are worth
noticing as they're happening.
 
**2 exceptions.. that
  1) Obi-Wan got no real "post convention bounce"
      cuz Palin n' McCain stole all the thunder, and
  2) now it's McCain on top    of  the dead heat
      (instead of Obama) and nudging yet higher,







--- On Mon, 9/8/08, The Exorcist <killingjoke at theimmortalfool.com> wrote:

From: The Exorcist <killingjoke at theimmortalfool.com>
Subject: Re: [kj] Ot - Presidential race, by the numbers.. -- EDIT
To: saulomar1 at yahoo.com, "A list about all things Killing Joke (the band!)" <gathering at misera.net>
Date: Monday, September 8, 2008, 7:09 AM


Post convention bounces are meaningless.

At 05:28 AM 9/8/2008, sade1 wrote:

                          McCain Obama
Gallup has 'em at:    48%      45% (9/7 sunday)
Zogby has 'em at:     49         46   (9/6 saturday)  <<<=== CORRECTION..
A.R.G.has 'em at:     43         49   (9/2 tuesday, pre-Palin Effect)
C.N.N.has 'em at:     43         44   (9/7 sunday)
Rasmussen says:     46         46   (9/7 sunday)
USAToday/Gallup :    54         44   (9/5-7 fri-sun)
       true inflation: 13%  as of aug.14
true unemployed:  15%  as of sep. 5 
from Shadow Gov't. Stats. - Alternate Data Series: http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data
 
 

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